Picking a winner

Barring any last minute disasters, it looks like Tony Abbott will be PM by Sunday. Whether the swing is big or small will depend on whether undecided voters are fearful of giving Abbott a large majority, the goal of Labor’s recent scare campaign. Or whether they choose to “pick a winner” and feel that they have contributed to a change of government. At this stage I’m predicting it will be the latter and that the swing will be larger than expected on the day.